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Forex Signals US Session Brief, June 19 – Safe Havens Benefit as the Trade War Escalates

Posted Tuesday, June 19, 2018 by Skerdian Meta • 3 min read
  • fundamental analysis
  • market sentiment
  • OPEC
  • USD/JPY

The economic calendar has been very light during the European session. Nonetheless, there has been plenty of price action in the forex market and in other markets so far today. The situation is pretty clear though – the escalating trade war between US and the rest of the world has dented the market sentiment.

So, the risk-off sentiment has set across all markets today. Chinese officials said earlier that they don’t like the US opening trade wars and messing things up, but they are not afraid of it and will fight back, so there you have it. The safe haven currencies are benefiting considerably from all this. USD/JPY has tanked 100 pips lower while EUR/CHF is still sliding.

 

The European Session

Eurozone Trade Balance – The trade balance of the Eurozone was expected at around 30 billion Euros. It came lower at 28.4 billion, down from around 32 billion last month. Yesterday, the Italian trade balance shrank as well, so this is not a good sign.

No Consensus for OPEC – The OPEC countries want to increase the Oil production output, hence the bearish crude Oil. But today, Iran, Venezuela and Algeria said that they are against it since it would hurt Oil prices. Venezuela is under sanctions so it can’t sell more even if it increased production and Iran seems to be going that way too after Trump ripped the Iran nuclear deal earlier this year.

China Can Stand Up to Trump – China urged the US today to “stop deeds that will hurt the US and others”. The Chinese foreign minister also said that the US should go back to rationality. But, China is not afraid of a trade war. These were the comments which deteriorated the market sentiment further today.

EU’s Barnier Is Not Backing off – The EU Brexit negotiator said earlier that the UK needs more realism on Brexit and that the EU will not fall into the Brexit blame-game. Well, he is right. The UK is trying to get whatever it can from the EU and it has been blaming the EU for whatever is wrong in the country – dovish comments for the GBP.

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